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112. Boise’s Construction Market Boom: How Has Boise’s Growth Affected the Industry & Economy

Emily E. Kuehl, Chase Silvestre, Brooke Ross, Avery Williams, Alex Henrie, Dr. Samia Islam

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Research Objectives

Our service-learning research examines:

  • The construction labor market growth and its relation to workers’ wages in the area as well as its correlation to the cost of housing.
  • The main source of labor for the construction industry, as well as the factors that go into changes in wage and advances in construction techniques.
  • We will be researching how these construction techniques and changes in labor source have affected the competition in the labor market.

Our research objective is to present a comparative analysis of the local construction market of Boise and other similarly sized cities in the last five years.

Who Enters the Construction Industry?

The average age for those employed in the construction industry is 42.6 years old [2,3]. About 1.7% of those employed are between 16-19 years old.

  • There is a shortage of qualified construction laborers observed nationwide
  • “Students currently attracted to technical fields are less likely to choose an emphasis in Civil Engineering or Construction than in competitive areas.” [1]
  • Not enough push in highschool to go into trade school [3]
  • Seen as difficult and unskilled work [“ditch diggers”][3]
Bar chart - Southwestern Idaho has highest average employment followed by Northern, Eastern Idaho, South Central, Southeastern, and North Central has the least
Figure 1. Average Employment Throughout Regions in Idaho in 2007, 2012, and 2017

Effects of Lower Immigration

Immigrants share great value in Idaho’s economy

  • As consumers, immigrants add billions of dollars to Idaho’s economy.

Immigrant entrepreneurs in Idaho generate a hundred million dollars in business revenue [8]Immigrants are an essential part of the industrial labor force

  • Around 1 in 12 workers in Idaho are immigrants
  • Immigrants make up over 10% of all industrial workers
  • Immigrants make up over 11% of the Construction market [8]
2014 average jobs was 4,532 with average pay of $32,015. Figures rise slightly each year to 7,007 jobs in 2019 and $40,621 average pay
Figure 2. Number of Construction Jobs vs. Average Annual Pay from 2014 through 2019 for Ada and Canyon Counties
Average wages for all regions have increased over three years of data. Average wages for 2017: N Idaho, $40,364; NC Idaho $38,995; SW Idaho $44,801; SC Idaho, $41,164; SE Idaho, $41,516; E Idaho, $39,928
Figure 3. Average Wage Throughout Regions in Idaho for 2007, 2012, and 2017

What does the Construction Worker Shortage mean?

Construction worker shortage means it will take longer and the price will raise on the home.

  • The reason is that many were laid off in the recession and got retrained in manufacturing.
  • We need people to get education in electrical, plumbing, masonry and other construction fields. Need to encourage more students into this field. [5]

Impacts of Zoning and Density on Housing Prices

  • High housing spending of top-earners reduces housing choices for medium and low income housing leads to them spending a higher portion of income on housing expenditures.
  • Houses are being built on smaller lots, this helps contains the sizes of houses.
  • The association between lot size and hope price is a lot weaker than between home size and price.
  • 10% increase in lot size ~ 5.5% increase in price
  • 10 % decrease in lot size ~ 1.6% decrease in price [7]

New Manufacturing/Technology Improvements

Modular/Prefabricated Homes

This is where each piece of the home is fabricated to scale in a facility, and is direct fit.[4]

Drones

Provides a major edge when it comes to aerial views/footage, tracking progress of the sight, and monitoring progress. [5]

3D Printing/ BIM (Business Information Modeling)

Allowed this industry to experience the project before its built. [5]
This includes finding errors early in the process rather than after the sight is under way. [5]

Employee Experience

Employee Experience allows for each of the topics stated above to be done in an efficient manner. The knowledge of the employee will determine the efficiency of the task. [5]

Computer model
Figure 4. A Modular Site-Built Hybrid

Conclusion

Construction workers on job site using a crane
Figure 5. A Construction Worker Overlooks a Job Site

Our analysis reveals the following:

Shortage in labor supply

Due to:

  • Lower immigration
  • Fewer young people joining the industry
  • New manufacturing techniques but not enough trained laborers

Wage increase due to labor shortage

  • Demand for higher wages means inefficiency in the market
  • Consumers will need to pay more to compensate, leading to an increase of home prices in the area

Average wages in Idaho are similar in each region

  • Since 2012 wages have begun to increase back to their pre-2007 / pre-recession peak.

References

  1. Jones, R. C. (1990). Technical personnel shortages in construction industry. Journal of professional issues in engineering, 116(1), 16-26.
  2. Employed persons by detailed industry and age. (2020, January 22). Retrieved from https://www.bls.gov/cps/cpsaat18b.htm
  3. Chini, A. R., Brown, B. H., & Drummond, E. G. (1999, April). Causes of the construction skilled labor shortage and proposed solutions. In ASC Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference (pp. 187-196).
  4. Parsons, G. (2017, June 12). Shortage of construction labor in Treasure Valley. Retrieved from https://www.ktvb.com/article/news/local/shortage-of-construction-labor-in-treasure-valley/448150029
  5. HOME. (2020, February 3). Retrieved February 5, 2020, from https://www.bigrentz.com/blog/construction-technology
  6. Automated Volumetric Modular Construction. (retrieved February 4, 2020, from https://autovol.com/.d.). Re
  7. Dong , H., & Hansz, J. A. (n.d.). Zoning, density, and rising housing prices: A case study in Portland, Oregon. Retrieved from https://journals-sagepub-com.libproxy.boisestate.edu/doi/pdf/10.1177/0042098018813251
  8. Immigrants in Idaho. (2018, May 9). Retrieved from https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/immigrants-in-idaho

Figures

  1. Figure 1. Idaho Depart of Labor. (2018, July). 2017 Idaho Labor market and Economic Report. Labor.idaho.gov. https://www.labor.idaho.gov/dnn/Portals/0/Publications/Labor%20Market%20Report%202017%20-%20FINAL.pdf
  2. Figure 2.Kathryn Tacke ( email communication, March 31, 2020)
  3. Figure 3. Idaho Depart of Labor. (2018, July). 2017 Idaho Labor market and Economic Report. Labor.idaho.gov. https://www.labor.idaho.gov/dnn/Portals/0/Publications/Labor%20Market%20Report%202017%20-%20FINAL.pdf
  4. Figure 4. (n.d.). Retrieved April 14, 2020, from https://www.builderonline.com/greenbuild-kb-home-projekt-sponsor-pavilion/a-modular-site-built-hybrid_o
  5. Figure 5. U.S. Up 200,000 while Canada Down 50,000 in August Jobs Reports – constructconnect.com. (2018, September 7). Retrieved from https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/news/economic/2018/09/u-s-200000-canada-50000-august-jobs-reports

Additional Information

For questions or comments about this research, contact Emily Kuehl at emilykuehl@u.boisestate.edu.